Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.026876 0.028816 0.030837 0.033102 0.035573 0.038189 0.041175
2025-06-22 0.023515 0.026257 0.029256 0.032794 0.036866 0.041424 0.046935
2025-06-29 0.021040 0.024205 0.027798 0.032202 0.037484 0.043657 0.051472
2025-07-06 0.019673 0.023198 0.027322 0.032542 0.039028 0.046893 0.057263
2025-07-13 0.018425 0.022176 0.026679 0.032536 0.040036 0.049427 0.062257
2025-07-20 0.017560 0.021527 0.026397 0.032892 0.041439 0.052467 0.068039
2025-07-27 0.016587 0.020657 0.025754 0.032699 0.042062 0.054465 0.072509
2025-08-03 0.015730 0.019871 0.025149 0.032484 0.042596 0.056322 0.076855
2025-08-10 0.014978 0.019169 0.024600 0.032287 0.043104 0.058129 0.081209
2025-08-17 0.014332 0.018567 0.024140 0.032163 0.043679 0.060028 0.085790
2025-08-24 0.013632 0.017852 0.023481 0.031712 0.043736 0.061152 0.089244
2025-08-31 0.012949 0.017126 0.022768 0.031135 0.043559 0.061891 0.092116
2025-09-07 0.012404 0.016570 0.022270 0.030846 0.043798 0.063280 0.096145
2025-09-14 0.011908 0.016061 0.021813 0.030588 0.044059 0.064706 0.100329
2025-09-21 0.011364 0.015459 0.021192 0.030050 0.043849 0.065362 0.103252
2025-09-28 0.011110 0.015260 0.021143 0.030363 0.044972 0.068198 0.110095
2025-10-05 0.010783 0.014939 0.020899 0.030359 0.045579 0.070217 0.115651
2025-10-12 0.010567 0.014773 0.020872 0.030685 0.046730 0.073197 0.123160
2025-10-19 0.010231 0.014413 0.020539 0.030508 0.047036 0.074751 0.128153
2025-10-26 0.009910 0.014064 0.020205 0.030311 0.047291 0.076221 0.133089
2025-11-02 0.009612 0.013737 0.019891 0.030129 0.047557 0.077715 0.138176
2025-11-09 0.009346 0.013450 0.019628 0.030016 0.047928 0.079410 0.143787
2025-11-16 0.009024 0.013065 0.019196 0.029601 0.047747 0.080083 0.147377